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Wang Yiwei: Could Belt and Road Initiative bring debt problems to small countries?

2018-03-16

By Wang Yiwei    Source: CGTN    Published: 2018-3-15



Debt imperialism! The Western media has given the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) a new name. This label seems to have come about after more than 86 countries and international organizations signed the 102 Memorandum Of Understanding with the Chinese government to jointly build BRI projects, but some Western companies feel they do not have enough access to BRI projects.


CNN recently published an article titled “China`s global trade plan is piling huge debt on smaller nations,” citing data from a research paper of the Center for Development, claiming that infrastructure investment under China’s Belt and Road Initiative will bring debt burdens to developing countries involved.


So could these fears be correct and could the “Belt and Road Initiative introduce new debt vulnerabilities in developing countries?”


Such a question is just like the "chicken and the egg" dilemma.


The misgiving reminds us that we should not just think about whether the hen can be sold to pay off any debt but also think about how many eggs the hen will lay.


In the early days of its reform and opening up, China borrowed from the World Bank and Asia Development Bank. The West was worried about a possible debt crisis, but it never happened when China’s economy took off. We should not take a narrow view on debt, as a certain level of debt can have positive externalities and the Belt and Road Initiative is aimed at building industrial capacity rather than infrastructure only.


China has invested 200 million yuan in every kilometer of its high-speed railways, totaling 5 trillion yuan in its 25,000 high-speed railways. The ensuing debt, instead of skyrocketing, has boosted rapid development and integration of China’s economy.


China is sharing its successful experience with BRI countries. One of the key phrases to understanding China’s model is “development financing.” Learning from the World Bank and Asian Development Bank, the China Development Bank creates a model of market cultivation to deal with market failure.


“If you want to get rich, build the road; if you want to get rich quickly, build the motor road; if you want to get rich immediately, build the Internet road; if you want to get rich jointly, build the road connecting with China.” Such a slogan has encouraged many developing countries to join BRI.


Actually, even some Chinese worry about their country`s own debt by building infrastructure for the Belt and Road countries, given the political instability in many of them and the uncertainty of globalization. What could be possible measures to mitigate such risk? The only way is to create long-term economic growth in the different countries.


Pakistan, for instance, was previously viewed as a failed state by many Western countries, but according to the vision of the mid-to-long term China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), Pakistan will be a middle power around 2035 after its economy takes off. The CPEC is creating solid conditions for Pakistan’s middle country dream to become a reality by building infrastructure and energy capacities, industrial parks and ports, creating mutual benefits with Belt and Road.


The author is a senior fellow of Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies at Renmin University of China.

Key Words: Belt and Road   debt   RDCY   Wang Yiwei  

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